@InProceedings{LiSaNordBevi:1995:PrSeSu,
author = "Li, W. G. and Sa, Leonardo Deane de Abreu and Nordemann, Daniel
Jean Roger and Bevilaqua, Rute Maria",
title = "Predictions of sea surface temperature in Tropical Atlantic Ocean
time series using neural networks",
booktitle = "Anais...",
year = "1995",
pages = "221--222",
organization = "Conferencia Regional sobre Mudancas Globais.",
keywords = "ESTUDO DO SINAL GEOFISICO, OCEANO ATLANTICO, REDES NEURAIS.",
abstract = "A review of researches on the relationship between the tropical
ocean sea surface temperatures (SST) and rainfall anomalies in
Northeast Brazil was introduced. In this work, two neural network
models are implemented to reconstruct and predict the time series
of the SST in two regions: the tropical Atlantic ocean (Wright
index, from 1854 to 1985) and the tropical Pacific ocean (regions
Nino1-2: 0 N-10 S, 270 E-280 E and Nino4: 5 N-5 S, 160 E-150 E,
from 1950 to 1995). The selected neural networks include
Backpropagation Neural Network (BNN) and Time Delay Neural Network
(TDNN). Both were implemented in the neural network stimulator
SNNS. For the Wright index, the trained Backpropagation Neural
Network successfully predicted the index of the following four
months with the relative errors from 1.40 to 3.34. For SST in
Nino1-2 and Nino4 regions, the Time Delay Neural Network was used
for reconstruction and prediction. Comparing with the next six
month observations and predictions, all of them are located within
the predicted error bars. These results show that neural network
methods may be used, within certain limits, for prediction and
evaluation of predictability of time series measured from
phenomena influenced by complex climatic and geophysical
processes, like SST.",
conference-location = "Sao Paulo, BR",
conference-year = "04-06 dez. 1995",
label = "7422",
targetfile = "6084.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "09 maio 2024"
}